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Trump says Iran war will end after the midterms and gas prices will fall

Published September 10, 2026 · Updated September 10, 2026 · By Charles Jackson - qwenews.com

Foto : Charles Jackson - qwenews.com

Trump Predicts Iran Conflict Will End After Midterms as Fuel Prices Remain Elevated

Qwenews.com – President Donald Trump said Wednesday that he expects Iran to stop its war effort after the November midterm elections, while acknowledging that Americans may not see lower gasoline prices before then.

Speaking with reporters while traveling to the Republican midterm convention in Dallas, Trump argued that Tehran has an incentive to continue the conflict through Election Day because of its potential political effect in the United States. Rising fuel costs have become a prominent economic concern as voters weigh the broader consequences of the fighting.

“I think it’s going to take a little bit longer than the midterm,” Trump said of gas prices coming down.

Trump portrayed Iran’s leadership as trying to influence the election by prolonging the war. He said the country wanted the United States to elect officials he described as less willing to confront Iran over its nuclear ambitions.

“They’re desperate to try and affect the election so that we can get a nice weak group of people in there and leave them alone and let them have their nuclear weapon.”

Oil market pressure reaches American drivers

The comments came as the global benchmark for oil moved above $100 per barrel again. Increased fighting in Iran in recent days has added to worries about crude supplies, particularly because of the danger facing shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

The waterway is a critical route for oil transported from the region to global markets. When conflict threatens the movement of tankers or raises fears of supply interruptions, oil prices can react quickly. Those changes can eventually reach consumers through higher prices for gasoline, diesel and other petroleum-based products.

For drivers in the United States, the impact is not always immediate or identical in every location. Retail fuel prices can vary by region, taxes, transportation costs and local supply conditions. Still, a sustained increase in crude prices can place additional upward pressure on what motorists pay at the pump.

Trump said he believes Iran is nearing the point where it cannot keep fighting and will look for a rapid end to the conflict once the election has passed. In that scenario, he said, oil prices would fall sharply.

“They can’t hold out any longer,” he said.

Trump added that Iran would seek to end the war “immediately after the election,” a development he suggested would cause oil markets to move lower.

Midterm politics and the nuclear question

The administration has repeatedly presented the conflict as necessary to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. Trump maintained that the issue can be explained directly to voters, even as households contend with the financial strain associated with more expensive fuel.

“I think it’s very easy to explain to America, all you have to do is say: ‘Will you let Iran have a nuclear weapon?’ And the answer is no,” Trump said.

The president has also continued to argue that Americans support the wider offensive against Iran. His position rests on the expectation that voters will view the security objective as more important than the near-term economic costs tied to energy markets.

That political calculation faces a practical challenge: gasoline prices are highly visible to consumers. Unlike some economic indicators, fuel costs are encountered regularly by commuters, families, delivery workers and businesses that depend on transportation. Higher prices can affect household budgets directly and can also contribute to broader concerns about the cost of moving goods.

Trump’s remarks placed the timing of any relief squarely after the midterms. He did not offer a specific date for a decline in gasoline prices, but said the expected end of the conflict would trigger a substantial retreat in oil prices.

A conflict with global economic consequences

The developments underscore how fighting centered in one region can affect consumers far beyond it. Oil is traded globally, and threats to production or shipping routes can reshape expectations across international markets. The Strait of Hormuz remains especially significant because disruption there could restrict the movement of large volumes of crude.

For now, the combination of stepped-up fighting and renewed concern over the flow of oil has pushed the energy issue closer to the center of the midterm campaign. Trump’s prediction that Iran will stop fighting after the election has become part of his broader argument that the economic pressures will prove temporary.

Whether that forecast is realized will depend on the course of the conflict and on conditions in global oil markets. Until then, the rise above $100 a barrel highlights the risk that fuel costs could remain a difficult issue for American voters in the weeks leading up to November.

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